Are today’s frothy asset classes going to join the list? So, how do you ID when we’ve entered the danger zone, and should you adjust your … This is when we should be in debt-stabilization mode. Speaking of previous asset bubbles, what really struck me as of late is the universal belief by a large majority of analysts, economists, and commentators, suggesting there is currently “no evidence” of an asset bubble. A bubble is a fast rise in an asset’s price followed by a contraction. 1. When there are no more investors willing to pay the overinflated price, people panic and sell and the bubble bursts. Recent Cases of Asset Bubbles. Asset bubbles are a form of inflation. Let’s look at how the above bubble characteristics and stages were manifest in recent prior bubbles. Japanese Asset Price Bubble (1986-1991) Japan’s bubble was characterized by rapid acceleration of real estate prices (and subsequently stock prices) and an overheated economy. "Nobody wants to talk about this being a bubble. An asset bubble is a wave of optimism that lifts prices beyond levels warranted by fundamentals, ending in a crash. Bubbles happen when the price is not justified by the asset itself but rather by the over-exuberant behavior of investors. First, there can be outright inflation. However, it should be remembered “asset bubbles” are only … - The asset bubble's pop will have very ugly consequences. Given that backdrop, It's a nice thing to be in the middle of a bubble, and you hope it will expand even more. Quantitative easing has failed to promote economic activity as expected, but it has driven interest rates to virtually zero. So now we're looking at an asset bubble in the stock market. Major financial bubbles, from the Dutch tulip mania in the 17th century to the real estate bubble that collapsed in 2007, have often become cultural milestones after they burst and spread havoc through the economy. No Asset Bubble? Maybe that is true. What makes this alarming enough to include as a bubble is that the federal government currently has a large federal deficit even during peacetime and even with a strong economy and low unemployment. The next recession we have is likely to widen the deficit … Scenario #2: Low Growth, High Inflation - Assets were overvalued, but not significantly. The S and P 500 looks to have entered a bubble. As we have learned over the past fifty years, excessive monetary or credit ease can come out in one of three ways. It's the greatest asset inflation bubble we have seen in 20 years," Jainz said during an appearance on CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe." In 1999, I promised myself that I’d be smarter next time. “Next time” meaning on the cusp of a pop or recession. With discipline there is a lot of money to be made in a bubble market but the player needs to embrace the fact it is unsustainable. Zone, and you hope it will expand even more let’s look at how the above bubble and. 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